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| Codexusai The smaller wave |
The analogy that we've been given, By whom? and the one we collectively repeat is the titanic and the iceberg. Repeat it often enough and people convince themselves that it'sthe future is inevitable.
The analogy that fits better and that my brain came up with is a tsunami. Writers and journalists were warning us about all the negative changes that were coming.
Bob and Nancy are sitting on a beach enjoying their much needed vacation. They read the warning, but decide that the tsunami of information is just fear mongering. Better to ridicule and gossip. The problem with many writers including those who wrote about negative changes was the lack of concrete advice.
Bob and Nancy decide to leave it to others, after all, what can they do? Every now and then media continues to warn, Bob and Nancy agree with the article, chat about it and do nothing. One can get off the beach in time. The tsunami appears. This time journalists are riding the big wave for clicks and financial gain with impending doom scenarios.
Experts and volunteers provide the solution, immense water gates go up, the flow of doom and gloom is stopped until the tsunami momentum is diminished. The future is not set in stone.
It suits our limited imagination (and our fears) to imagine stuff like that, tsunami, Titanic vs iceberg, whatever. It also serves as an excuse, after all these events are massive and unavoidable at least in the movies.
ReplyDeleteTransformation research uses the interim period, the period of upheaval, when you realise that the old is dying, but the new is not yet tangible. We simply cannot know exactly what the future will look like. But with every step forward, we can follow a clear compass, try things out, adapt, learn and move on. This is the evolutionary view of development, and we all play a part in it, even if it seems small at first.
Mhmm. The titanic sank. It's an image of hopelessness. It was being used everywhere and applied to everything that was wrong to manipulate. Where did it come from?
DeleteCodex: I use movie imagery because I'm a cinephile, a little lazy on the blog but people have common knowledge or recognize it.
DeleteTransformation research- thank you did not know it existed in
such detail.is it well established in Europe? It means something different in North Ametica
I give up on correcting spelling.
Transformation research is a research field where political economy, business analysis, climate science and anthropology meet. It's a growing field. I am biased as two family members are working/studying in this area.
DeleteHave a look here: https://allianzfoundation.org/maja-goepel-interview/
Codex: interesting that the same term refers to infrastructure and economic development but not climate change.
DeleteCodex above.
ReplyDeleteMajor realignments are taking place I think. In that sense there is a new world order taking place. Just how it eventually manifests itself, whether it's apocalyptic or not, remains to be seen but the balance of power status quo post WWII is shifting. New alliances are being made because the old ones no longer function. America can no longer be counted on. Turmoil here, the place is being run by power mad men and unqualified idiots, puppets of the ultra wealthy.
ReplyDeleteCodex: Yes Ellen I'm aware of that but the outcome can be changed.
DeleteOf course any outcome can be changed before it happens. Even after it happens. The only constant is that things change. It's not a matter of can or if, but when.
Delete"By whom?" That line in this post reverberates. In 2025, I must admit I don't know whether to trust the hopeful few or the countless harbingers.
ReplyDeleteCodex: It depends what you're talking about. Countries? The harbingers are over and done with. Hope is how people get through wars.
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